Alan J. Munn

ARCHIVE OF TERRORISM PREDICTIONS FOR AMERICA

1. DISCUSSION OF TERRORISM
2. INTRODUCTION
3. INCOMPETENCE ON 11 SEPTEMBER 2001
4. DHS (Department of Homeland Security)
5. ARNG (Army National Guard)
6. SAFE WORKPLACES
7. RELATIVE DEADLINESS OF TERRORISM IN AMERICA
8. PREDICTION TABLE ARCHIVE

PREDICTION TABLE ARCHIVE

dates to which the prediction applies	PREDICTION	accuracy of prediction (in other words, "Was the prediction accurate?")	date that the prediction first appeared at this web site	comments
25-29 September	SAFE	accurate	25 September 2006
20-24 September	SAFE	accurate	18 September
15-19 September	SAFE	accurate	14 September
10-14 September	SAFE	accurate	8 September
5-9 September	SAFE	accurate	5 September
30 August - 4 September	SAFE	accurate	29 August
25-29 August	SAFE	accurate	25 August
20-24 August	SAFE	accurate	18 August
15-19 August	SAFE	accurate	14 August
10-14 August	SAFE	accurate	9 August
5-9 August	SAFE	accurate	2 August
30 July - 4 August	SAFE	accurate	29 July
25-29 July	SAFE	inaccurate Naveed Afzal Haq, Seattle, 29 July 2006	24 July
20-24 July	SAFE	accurate	19 July
15-19 July	SAFE	accurate	15 July
10-14 July	SAFE	accurate	9 July
5-9 July	SAFE	accurate	4 July
30 June - 4 July	SAFE	accurate	28 June
25-29 June	SAFE	accurate	24 June
20-24 June	SAFE	accurate	20 June
15-19 June	SAFE	accurate	14 June
10-14 June	SAFE	accurate	10 June
5-9 June	SAFE	accurate	5 June
30 May - 4 June	SAFE	accurate	28 May
25-29 May	SAFE	accurate	24 May
20-24 May	SAFE	accurate	19 May
15-19 May	SAFE	accurate	13 May
10-14 May	SAFE	accurate	9 May
5-9 May	SAFE	accurate	4 May
30 April - 4 May	SAFE	accurate	29 April
25-29 April	SAFE	accurate	24 April
20-24 April	SAFE	accurate	18 April
15-19 April	SAFE	accurate	13 April
10-14 April	SAFE	accurate	9 April
5-9 April	SAFE	accurate	4 April
30 March - 4 April	SAFE	accurate	28 March
25-29 March	SAFE	accurate	23 March
20-24 March	SAFE	accurate	18 March
15-19 March	SAFE	accurate	14 March
10-14 March	SAFE	accurate	8 March
5-9 March	SAFE	accurate	5 March
1-4 March	SAFE	accurate	28 February
25-29 February	SAFE	acccurate	23 February
20-24 February	SAFE	accurate	19 February
15-19 February	SAFE	accurate	13 February
10-14 February	SAFE	accurate	8 February
5-9 February	SAFE	accurate	3 February
30 January - 4 February	SAFE	accurate	28 January
25-29 January	SAFE	accurate	23 January
20-24 January	SAFE	accurate	19 January
15-19 January	SAFE	accurate	15 January
10-14 January	SAFE	accuracy	9 January
5-9 January 2006	SAFE	accurate	4 January
30 December 2005 - 4 January 2006	SAFE	accurate	29 December
25-29 December	SAFE	accurate	24 December
20-24 December	SAFE	accurate	19 December
15-19 December	SAFE	accurate	14 December
10-14 December	SAFE	accurate	9 December
5-9 December	SAFE	accurate	4 December
30 November - 4 December	SAFE	accurate	29 November 2005
25-29 November	SAFE	accurate	23 November 2005
20-24 November	SAFE	accurate	19 November 2005
15-19 November	SAFE	acccurate	15 November 2005
10-14 November	SAFE	accurate	9 November 2005
5-9 November	SAFE	accurate	4 November 2005
30 October - 4 November	SAFE	accurate	29 October 2005
25-29 October	SAFE	accurate	24 October 2005
20-24 October	SAFE	accurate	19 October 2005
15-19 October	SAFE	accurate	14 October 2005
10-14 October	SAFE	accurate	9 October 2005
5-9 October	SAFE	accurate	4 October 2005
30 September - 4 October	SAFE	accurate	28 September 2005
25-29 September	SAFE	accurate	24 September 2005
20-24 September	SAFE	accurate	18 September 2005
15-19 September	SAFE	accurate	14 September 2005
10-14 September	SAFE	accurate	9 September 2005
5-9 September	SAFE	accurate	4 September 2005
30 August - 4 September	SAFE	accurate	29 August 2005
25-29 August	SAFE	accurate	23 August 2005
20-24 August	SAFE	accurate	19 August 2005
15-19 August	SAFE	accurate	14 August 2005
10-14 August	SAFE	accurate	9 August 2005
5-9 August	SAFE	accurate	4 August 2005
30 July - 4 August	SAFE	accurate	29 July 2005
25-29 July	SAFE	accurate	23 July 2005
20-24 July	SAFE	accurate	18 July 2005
15-19 July	SAFE	accurate	14 July 2005
10-14 July	SAFE	accurate	9 July 2005
5-9 July	SAFE	accurate	4 July 2005
30 June - 4 July	SAFE	accurate	29 June 2005
25-29 June	SAFE	accurate	24 June 2005
20-24 June	SAFE	accurate	19 June 2005
15-19 June	SAFE	accurate	13 June 2005
10-14 June	SAFE	accurate	9 June 2005
5-9 June	SAFE	accurate	4 June 2005
30 May - 4 June	SAFE	accurate	28 May 2005
25-29 May	SAFE	accurate	24 May 2005
20-24 May	SAFE	accurate	19 May 2005
15-19 May	SAFE	accurate	13 May 2005
10-14 May	SAFE	accurate	8 May 2005
5-9 May	SAFE	accurate	3 May 2005
30 April - 4 May	SAFE	accurate	28 April 2005
25-29 April	SAFE	accurate	24 April 2005
20-24 April	SAFE	accurate	18 April 2005
15-19 April	SAFE	accurate	15 April 2005
10-14 April	SAFE	accurate	8 April 2005
5-9 April	SAFE	accurate	4 April 2005
30 March - 4 April	SAFE	accurate	29 March 2005
25-29 March	SAFE	accurate	25 March 2005
20-24 March	SAFE	accurate	20 March 2005
15-19 March	SAFE	acurate	14 March 2005
10-14 March	SAFE	accurate	9 March 2005
5-9 March	SAFE	accurate	3 March 2005
25 February - 4 March	SAFE	accurate	24 February 2005
20-24 February	SAFE	accurate	19 February 2005
15-19 February	SAFE	accurate	14 February 2005
10-14 February	SAFE	accurate	9 February 2005
5-9 February	SAFE	accurate	4 February 2005
30 January - 4 February	SAFE	accurate	27 January 2005
25-29 January	SAFE	accurate	25 January 2005
20-24 January	SAFE	accurate	19 January 2005
15-19 January	SAFE	accurate	14 January 2005
10-14 January	SAFE	accurate	8 January 2005
5-9 January 2005	SAFE	accurate	3 January 2005
30 December 2004 - 4 January 2005	SAFE	accurate	28 December 2004
25-29 December	SAFE	accurate	23 December 2004
20-24 December	SAFE	accurate	19 December 2004
15-19 December	SAFE	accurate	14 December 2004
10-14 December	SAFE	accurate	9 December 2004
5-9 December	SAFE	accurate	4 December 2004
30 November - 4 December	SAFE	accurate	29 November 2004
25-29 November	SAFE	accurate	23 November 2004
20-24 November	SAFE	accurate	18 November 2004
15-19 November	SAFE	accurate	13 November 2004
10-14 November	SAFE	accurate	8 November 2004
5-9 November	SAFE	accurate	3 November 2004
30 October - 4 November	SAFE	accurate	28 October 2004
25-29 October	SAFE	accurate	24 October 2004
20-24 October	SAFE	accurate	19 October 2004
15-19 October	SAFE	accurate	13 October 2004
10-14 October	SAFE	accurate	8 October 2004
5-9 October	SAFE	accurate	4 October 2004
30 September - 4 October	SAFE	accurate	30 September 2004
25-29 September	SAFE	accurate	23 September 2004
20-24 September	SAFE	accurate	18 September 2004
15-19 September	SAFE	accurate	15 September 2004
10-14 September	SAFE	accurate	9 September 2004
5-9 September	SAFE	accurate	4 September 2004
30 August - 4 September	SAFE	accurate	29 August 2004
25-29 August	SAFE	accurate	23 August
20-24 August	SAFE	accurate	20 August
15-19 August	SAFE	accurate	14 August
10-14 August	SAFE	accurate	8 August
5-9 August	SAFE	accurate	4 August
30 July - 4 August	SAFE	accurate	29 July 2004
25-29 July	SAFE	accurate	23 July 2004
20-24 July	SAFE	accurate	18 July 2004
15-19 July	SAFE	accurate	14 July 2004
10-14 July	SAFE	accurate	9 July 2004
5-9 July	SAFE	accurate	4 July 2004
30 June - 4 July	SAFE	accurate	29 June
25-29 June	SAFE	accurate	24 June
20-24 June	SAFE	accurate	19 June
15-19 June	SAFE	accurate	13 June
10-14 June	SAFE	accurate	9 June
4-9 June	SAFE	accurate	4 June	"Series of Failures Is Cited in Evacuation of Capitol" Mattthew L. Wald, written 8 July 2004, published 9 July 2004 New York Times
30 May - 4 June	SAFE	accurate	29 May
25-29 May 2004	SAFE	accurate	23 May
20-24 May	SAFE	accurate	20 May
15-19 May	SAFE	accurate	15 May
10-14 May	SAFE	accurate	10 May
5-9 May	SAFE	accurate	3 May
30 Apr - 4 May	SAFE	accurate	28 April
25-29 Apr	SAFE	accurate	24 April
20-24 Apr	SAFE	accurate	19 April
17-19 Apr	SAFE	accurate	17 April
11-16 Apr	SAFE	accurate	11 April
9-10 Apr	no forecast for those 2 days	not applicable		America was SAFE.
3-8 Apr	SAFE	accurate	2 Apr
28 Mar - 2 Apr	SAFE	accurate	27 March
22-27 Mar	SAFE	accurate	21 March
16-21 Mar	SAFE	accurate	14 March
10-15 Mar	SAFE	accurate	10 March
4-9 Mar	SAFE	accurate	4 March
3 Mar	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
25 Feb - 2 Mar	SAFE	accurate	25 Feb
19-24 Feb	SAFE	accurate	19 Feb
13-18 Feb	SAFE	accurate	12 Feb
7-12 Feb	SAFE	accurate	5 Feb
1-6 Feb	SAFE	accurate	31 Jan	Senate bldg. ricin
26-31 Jan	SAFE	accurate	25 Jan
20-25 Jan	SAFE	accurate	18 Jan
14-19 Jan	SAFE	accurate	13 Jan
8-13 Jan	SAFE	accurate	6 Jan 2004
2-7 Jan	SAFE	accurate	31 Dec 2003
28 Dec 2003 - 1 Jan 2004	SAFE	accurate	26 Dec 2003
22 - 27 Dec 2003	SAFE	accurate	21 Dec 2003
16 - 21 Dec 2003	SAFE	accurate	15 Dec 2003
10 - 15 Dec 2003	SAFE	accurate	10 Dec 2003
4 Dec - 9 Dec 2003	SAFE	accurate	3 Dec 2003
28 Nov - 3 Dec 2003	SAFE	accurate	27 Nov 2003
22-27 Nov 2003	SAFE	accurate	20 Nov 2003
16-21 Nov 2003	SAFE	accurate	15 Nov 2003
10-15 Nov 2003	SAFE	accurate	8 Nov 2003
4-9 Nov 2003	SAFE	accurate	4 Nov 2003
29 Oct - 3 Nov 2003	SAFE	accurate	28 Oct 2003
25-28 Oct 2003	SAFE	accurate	22 Oct 2003
19-24 Oct 2003	SAFE	accurate	18 Oct 2003
15-18 Oct 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
9-14 Oct 2003	SAFE	accurate	8 Oct 2003
3-8 Oct 2003	SAFE	accurate	3 Oct 2003
27 Sep - 2 Oct 2003	SAFE	accurate	26 Sep 2003
21-26 Sep 2003	SAFE	accurate	19 Sep 2003
15-20 Sep 2003	SAFE	accurate	13 Sep 2003
9-14 Sep 2003	SAFE	accurate	7 Sep 2003
3-8 Sep 2003	SAFE	accurate	1 Sep 2003
28 Aug - 2 Sep 2003	SAFE	accurate	26 Aug 2003
22-27 Aug 2003	SAFE	accurate	22 Aug 2003
13-21 Aug 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
7-12 Aug 2003	SAFE	accurate	7 Aug 2003
1-6 Aug 2003	SAFE	accurate	31 July 2003
29-31 July 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
23-28 July 2003	SAFE	accurate	23 July 2003
22 July 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
16-21 July 2003	SAFE	accurate	14 July 2003
10-15 July 2003	SAFE	accurate	9 July 2003
4-9 July 2003	SAFE	accurate	3 July 2003
28 June - 3 July 2003	SAFE	accurate	28 June 2003
23-27 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	23 June 2003
18-22 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	17 June 2003
14-17 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	13 June 2003
9-13 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	7 June 2003
4-8 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	3 June 2003
30 May - 3 June 2003	SAFE	accurate	28 May 2003
25-29 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	23 May 2003
20-24 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	19 May 2003	pipe bomb at Yale, no death or injury
15-19 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	13 May 2003
10-14 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	9 May 2003
5-9 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	4 May 2003
30 April - 4 May 2003	SAFE	accurate	29 April 2003
26-29 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	24 April 2003
22-25 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	20 April 2003
17-21 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	17 April 2003
12-16 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	11 April 2003
8-11 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	8 April 2003
6-7 April 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
2-5 April 2003	SAFE	accurate	2 April 2003
30 Mar 1 April 2003	no prediction	not applicable		America was SAFE.
26-29 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	25 March 2003
23-25 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	21 March 2003
19-22 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	19 March 2003
15-18 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	15 March 2003
11-14 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	10 March 2003
7-10 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	6 March 2003
3-6 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	2 March 2003
27 Feb - 2 Mar 2003	SAFE	accurate	26 Feb 2003
23-26 Feb 2003	SAFE	accurate	23 Feb 2003
21-22 Feb 2003	SAFE	accurate	20 Feb 2003
18-20 Feb 2003	SAFE	accurate	18 Feb 2003
17 Feb 2003	SAFE	accurate	17 Feb 2003

This prediction pages (unlike the federal government's prediction page) lacks stupid color codes, political hype, threat assessments based on gossip and rumor, mere guesses, and a long record of being wrong. Because it is impossible to evaluate a predictive system without examining how often that system has been right and wrong in the past, the table above lists all previous predictions in the table above. This Web site made terrorism-related predictions from 17 February 2003 to 29 September 2006, and they are all listed on this page. Welcome to the Web's only Web site with truthful, accurate predictions about politically motivated terrorist atacks in America. The table above shows predictions of whether people in America will be murdered by a politically motivated terrorist.
"SAFE" means no murder victims (in other words: no one in America will be murdered by a politically motivated terrorist in the period to which the prediction applies). That period is defined by GMT. "Accurate" means that the period of time covered by the prediciton is over, and that the prediction was accurate (in other words, the prediction was true and right). It is stupid to waste money by basing decisions on predictions which usually are wrong. Terrorism predictions on this Web site (both on this page and on the archive page) have been perfectly accurate except for 29 July 2006. Our prediction for that day was wrong because Naveed Afzal Haq, a U.S. citizen not from Seattle, killed someone at the Jewish Federation of Greater Seattle in a terrorist attack. Our performace was almost perfect. Our goal was that at least 95.0 percent of our predictions be accurate. We meet that goal. Furthermore, as far as we know, we have the Web's most accurate predictions of terrorist attacks in America. If there is a Web site with American terrorist predictions more accurate than ours, we'll link to it. Please be kind enough to tell us if there is such a page. As far as we know, there is none.

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